Came on here to gain perspective on people thought of the future prospects of this company whilst providing my own insight.
Their TTM EPS is $1.32 with a 3.89% profit margin. that would imply a TTM P/E of approximately 80x with a clear goal to get back to their historic average of roughly 10% profit margins. to get there in quick succession one could argue some top line compression is an inevitability and considering the competitive landscape at hand 10% profit margins are going to be about as good as it gets unless they alter their entire business model. so although it may seem counterintuitive i believe the best was to evaluate where this company will be in the next 10 years if all goes well is to assume a consistent 5% annual compound top line growth rate, then see where they will be at if they reach 10% profit margins off the top line.
Last year revenue = 37,184,000,000
+5% compound growth = 60,569,000,000
10% 0f 60,569,000,000 = 6,057,000,000
so if my calculations are correct, if they reach 10% margins by 2035 and consistently grow top line 5% you will see them net $6.06B in 2035.
if the stock trades at $100 now it is worth $114B.
$114B Ć· $6.06B = 18.81x P/E
assumed fair EPS in 2035 = 25x P/E
$6.06B x 25 = $151.5B
so assuming you bought the stock at $100 with a 114B valuation, if all goes perfectly to plan...
$114B > $151.5B = 33% stock appreciation over a decade which compounds to 3.03% YoY. so in essence assuming a 25 P/E when all is said and done my prediction is this stock will roughly be trading at $133 in 2035 unless hyper inflation comes back. you will get a roughly 3% dividend yield on top so you'll approximately net 6% YoY.
I am of the opinion this is an abysmal return to see after taking such a risk. last CEO spent years trying to pivot to cater to the more value oriented consumer as he realised the wealth divide is only getting worse and although starbucks is a "premium brand" Brian seems to be of the impression that brings unlimited pricing power in such a competitive landscape, I for one beg to differ. would love to hear peoples insights and perspectives! Just see a treacherous road ahead and not the greatest return even if Brian is up to the task.
Sid89
mese scorso
Starbucks Corporation Earnings: Q2 2026
NoRiskNoFun
mese scorso
Starbucks Q1 2026 earnings š
NoRiskNoFun
mese scorso
Starbucks earnings released
ngsech
mese scorso
Coffee
I have not had coffee in Starbucks in 13 years and recently they opened one near my home in a hotel lobby so I go there to work sometimes and I tried their vanilla latte, hot chocolate, flat white and they all tasted so bad.
Why does not Starbucks want to concentrate on quality of products anymore?
NoRiskNoFun
4 mesi fa
Starbucks Q1 2026 earnings š
JustBuying
4 mesi fa
What Starbucksās New CEO Has Changed, and What He Says Is Next on His List
Whatās everyone thinking of SB? Good time to buy?
Blaze0
8 mesi fa
Don't panic
Typical mindgame by hedge funds. Doubt the stock could go below 75 if in case we get there, prepare for take off. It's Starbucks... festive season is coming, revenue will go up, just enjoy the discounted stock price.
kAkali
8 mesi fa
Starbucks Announces Restructuring Plan Involving Store Closures and Layoffs
Fellow Starbucks investors,
I have a question for you all. Would you like the āpowerā to vote on new items / changes to items on the Starbucks menu?
I ask as I have just stopped off for my āwell doneā treat after another āfunā hospital visit only to find the signature breakfast roll has changed! It used to be bacon, sausage, egg and beans.
Now itās just bacon and beans!
So this raised the question from my wife āwhy didnāt you vote to keep itā - we both know she was joking but it did raise the idea that shareholders could have some influence here.
If it was offered to let you pick changes or new items, would you do it?
And if so⦠whatās one item you would add?
JustBuying
10 mesi fa
Starbucks was Americaās fastest-growing fast food chain last year
NoRiskNoFun
10 mesi fa
Starbucks Q3 2025 earnings š
Deepinwaiting
11 mesi fa
Does Starbucks coffee come from Brazil?
Does Starbucks coffee come from Brazil?
CJYoung999
12 mesi fa
Is Starbucks a MUST BUY in 2025 āļø
JustBuying
12 mesi fa
Starbucks goes all in on human baristas after years of slashing the size of its workforce
Looking to become more of a value investor than an index investor and keep thinking about Starbucks āļø looks like a nice buying opportunity, anyone else loading now? I also own McDonaldās at the moment.
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Domande frequenti
Qual ĆØ il prezzo dellāazione Starbucks (SBUX)?
Il prezzo attuale di Starbucks (SBUX) ĆØ 95,59Ā $.
Qual ĆØ il massimo a 52 settimane di SBUX?
Il massimo a 52 settimane per SBUX ĆØ 108,88Ā $.
Qual ĆØ il minimo a 52 settimane di SBUX?
Il minimo a 52 settimane per SBUX ĆØ 78Ā $.
Qual ĆØ lāandamento settimanale di SBUX?
Nellāultima settimana, il prezzo di SBUX ĆØ cambiato di -5,12%.
Qual ĆØ la performance mensile di SBUX?
Nellāultimo mese, il prezzo di SBUX ĆØ cambiato di -9,74%.
Qual ĆØ la performance a 3 mesi di SBUX?
Negli ultimi tre mesi, il prezzo di SBUX ĆØ cambiato di -1,13%.
Qual ĆØ la performance a 6 mesi di SBUX?
Negli ultimi sei mesi, il prezzo di SBUX ĆØ cambiato di 9,73%.
Qual ĆØ il rendimento annuale di SBUX?
Nel corso dellāultimo anno, il prezzo di SBUX ĆØ cambiato di 10,38%.