This assessment is to determine the fair value going off of an assumed growth rate and the gain you are likely to expect if this is achieved.
Assumed average price 🟰 $145
Assumed eps growth rate 🟰 5%📈
Assumed dividend growth rate 🟰 5%📉
🔴Last years eps 🟰 $6.95 🔵dividend 🟰 $5.33
$145 ➗ $6.95 🟰 20.86x P/E ratio
⚜️EPS⚜️ 🔱dividend🔱
🔴25 🟰 $7.30 🔵$5.60
🔴26 🟰 $7.67 🔵$5.88
🔴27 🟰 $8.05 🔵$6.17
🔴28 🟰 $8.45 🔵$6.48
🔴29 🟰 $8.87 🔵$6.80
🔴30 🟰 $9.31 🔵$7.14
🔴31 🟰 $9.78 🔵$7.50
🔴32 🟰 $10.27 🔵$7.88
🔴33 🟰 $10.78 🔵$8.27
🔴34 🟰 $11.32 🔵$8.68
🔴35 🟰 $11.89 🔵$9.11
🔴EPS conclusion
$145 ➗ $11.89 🟰 12.19x P/E ratio
Assumed fair eps in 2035 🟰 20x P/E ratio
Assumed price based on allocated assumed growth rate & EPS⬇️
20 ✖️ $11.89 🟰 $237.80
$237.80 ➖ $145 🟰
⚜️$92.80 (64.07% appreciation)⚜️
🔵dividend conclusion
Dividends based on allocated assumed growth rate added together⬇️
🔱$79.51 (54.87% appreciation)🔱
🟣final conclusion
$92.80 ➕ $79.51 🟰 $172.31
Considering price appreciation and dividend payouts you will receive a 118.87% net return over a decade (annualised 11.89%).
🟢Pepsi is a great company to invest in for an inflation hedge but it doesn’t come without its risks and the returns aren’t ridiculously substantial. If you believe in the managements turnaround plan it would be a great addition to the safety portion of your portfolio but personally believe there are safer alternatives if safety is the main priority.
🟠disclaimer
I have based these figures off of what I perceive to be realistic and in line with past performance. I am aware balance sheets and cash flows are also extremely important, this is merely a rough estimate of what you will most likely see if the highly likely trajectory IMO comes to fruition.
Stock price seems relatively cheap and a very attractive dividend, however I see potential of the world pointing towards a drastically healthier future. As someone that strives for longevity I haven’t consumed a PepsiCo product since I was 18 I don’t see a product of theirs I would ever feed my kid. Would love to hear anyone’s thoughts or opinions on this. Could they adapt and become a nourishing food and beverage company, do they need to like I believe?
NoRiskNoFun
för 9 månader sedan
Let's see if this will be a good long-term move 🤞
luketheinvestor7
för 10 månader sedan
Dividend CAGR and other metrics
Ag100
för 10 månader sedan
Now one of my larger holdings
The chart just looks to good to dismiss and the dividends are insurance play in case of a crash due to overvaluation
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Vanliga frågor och svar
Vad är aktiekursen för PepsiCo (PEP)?
Det aktuella priset för PepsiCo (PEP) är 142 $.
Vad är 52‑veckorshögsta för PEP?
Högsta nivån på 52 veckor för PEP är 171,48 $.
Vad är 52-veckorslägstanoteringen för PEP?
Den lägsta nivån på 52 veckor för PEP är 127,61 $.
Vad är den veckovisa prestandan för PEP?
Under den senaste veckan har priset på PEP ändrats med −2,93 %.
Hur ser den månatliga prestationen för PEP ut?
Under den senaste månaden har priset på PEP ändrats med −9,79 %.
Vad är 3-månadersprestandan för PEP?
Under de senaste tre månaderna har priset på PEP ändrats med −13,89 %.
Hur har 6‑månadersavkastningen för PEP varit?
Under de senaste sex månaderna har priset på PEP förändrats med −4,09 %.
Vad är den årliga prestandan för PEP?
Under det senaste året har priset på PEP förändrats med 7,7 %.